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Recent wisdom, gossip and conjecture:
Who'll Kerry the
Load?
Jason Michael Barker
Once upon a time...
...the mighty Atlanta Braves were concerned about their lack of a proven
veteran closer following the total collapse of Mark Wohlers. They opted
to go with unproven rookie Kerry Ligtenberg, who once pitched in an
independent league, was once traded for a bag of balls, and (horror
or horrors) was a scab back in the player's strike of 1994.
Although he pitched very well, there was still talk of the Braves trading
for a closer around the July 31 trading deadline. Rumors were tossed
about, containing names such as Randy Myers, Todd Jones, and Rick Aguilera.
At the time, Ligtenberg had saved 14 of 16 with a 3.35 ERA.
The Braves showed good judgment in not trading for one of those veterans,
who despite being classified as "closers" did not pitch as
well last season as the man the Braves wound up sticking with. Ligtenberg
did not disappoint down the stretch, saving 16 of 18 with a 1.54 ERA
over the final two months of the season.
This spring, the job was all his. The Braves had their closer, as well
as the luxury of trying to bring Wohlers along slowly, hoping all the
while he would be able to regain his once dominant form, but not counting
on, nor needing, anything from him.
Thursday, Ligtenberg underwent an MRI to see about pain he had experienced
in his throwing elbow during an outing the previous day. The result?
A partially torn medial collateral ligament. Here's the dilemma -- he
might only be out four to six weeks, but he might also need season-ending
surgery. Even if he doesn't need the surgery, there's no guarantee he'll
be able to pitch at 100% this season.
The Braves now need a closer. Here's a brief look at a few of their
options:
Todd Jones, Tigers
Jones was rumored to be heading to Atlanta last season, but wound
up sticking around in Detroit. A Georgia native, Jones has made it clear
he'd like to pitch closer to home if possible. The Tigers, meanwhile,
would love to dump his salary and let young Matt Anderson, who throws
up around 100 MPH, close games. Atlanta has enough mid-level pitching
prospects that giving one up for Jones wouldn't be a huge loss, and
they'd get their proven closer.
On the other hand, Jones didn't pitch all that well last season. Sure
he saved 28 games, but his ERA was just a tad shy of five, and he allowed
nearly 1.5 baserunners per inning to go along with a .347 opponents'
on-base percentage. It's possible he could improve under a good manager
and pitching coach, however.
Randy Myers, Padres
It's no secret that the Padres would love to unload Myers, who is
scheduled to make over $12 million over the next two seasons, especially
after having just signed Trevor Hoffman to a big four-year deal. Any
deal would probably be contingent on the Padres eating a chunk of Myers
salary, however. For their part, anything San Diego could get in return
for the over-the-hill closer would be a bonus. Myers is 36, his strikeout
rates have been declining, and he struggled last season, so he's probably
not a very good solution for the Braves, even in the short-term.
John Rocker
Already in the Atlanta organization, Rocker, 24, is the front-runner
for the job. A big, hard-throwing lefty, he split time between AAA and
the majors last season, combining for 64 strikeouts, 32 walks and a
1.89 ERA in 57 innings, with 38 of those innings coming in Atlanta.
A former starter, Rocker flourished last season after being moved to
the bullpen.
Odalis Perez
Also already in the organization, Perez began last season as a starter
at AA but was moved to relief upon a promotion to AAA. He finished the
season with the big club, and impressed the Braves enough that he was
on the post-season roster at the tender age of 20. He was also the youngest
pitcher to appear in the majors last season. Also a lefty, he's smaller
and doesn't throw as hard as Rocker, but has better control. It's not
clear whether the Braves plan to use him as a starter or reliever at
this point.
Outlook
Until Ligtenberg throws in four to six weeks, the club won't know
if he needs surgery or not. I expect Rocker to be the closer until that
time, at which point the Braves will probably make a trade if Ligtenberg
is lost for the season. If he's able to pitch again, they'll probably
stick with Rocker (unless he really struggles) and ease Ligtenberg back
into the role. In the best-case scenario, Atlanta will end the season
with two highly-regarded closers, then be able to trade one of them
in the off-season. And given how teams value closers these days, they
could get quite a bit in return.
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